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Charts current to 28th March 2014

analysis on 31st March 2013

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weekly update

Dow testing support - Thailand looking more bullish

14th July: The Dow is getting squeezed into the tip of a wedge. Breakout downside would likely see a 10% fall. Eurostoxx50 is pulling back to neckline. Short term weakness is still bullish for the medium term outlook. Emerging markets are still lackluster, as exemplified by Hong Kong. Thailand, on the other hand, is looking increasingly bullish.


Last full update

S&P500 has 2,400 hope

31st March: It's been a few months since I've updated this site (other than weekly updates) so let's go through changes market by market:

US: S&P 500 has clearly broken major long term resistances but is now facing its 60-year mean on the log chart which could pose a significant resistance. The Nasdaq is facing a resistance on the long term log chart. So this is a possible topping point. No sign of topping yet. But something to watch out for.

Europe: EFA is looking decidedly bullish. Eurostoxx is less so, but still encouraging. EFA contains a bit of Japan, so that might explain the lead on Eurostoxx. 

Japan: Bullish consolidation on good volume with good long term scenario if we see a rally above 18,000.

Emerging markets: the ETF, EEM is still drifting rather aimlessly. A few Asian markets are more interesting.

Hong Kong: nothing exciting, well supported, some weakness in the banking sector.

China: Still in a long term bear trend but well supported.

Philippines: in danger of topping, but still bullish. Currency is bearish. 

India: Nice, bullish, breakout with the prospect of a new bull trend.

Taiwan: Bullish consolidation on support.

Malaysia: Nice, gentle, long term bullish trend.

Singapore: Dithering in a range.

Indonesia: Consolidating. Mildly bullish breakout. 

Thailand: Still ambiguous in the medium term but with clear bearish signals in the form of the communications sector and currency.

Commodities: nothing exciting; gold, silver, oil all moving in boring ranges. No sign of bottoming yet for gold.
 
 

gb

 

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