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Dow, Nasdaq , S&P

Current Prediction
Dow short term: none
Dow medium term: double top points to (log) 11,700- done; (arithmetic) 11,500
Dow long term: none
Nasdaq short term: none
Nasdaq medium term: double top points to (log) 2,100, (arithmetic) 2,000
Nasdaq long term: none
S&P 500 medium term: double top points to (log) 1,300- done; (arithmetic) 1,200
S&P 500 long term: none
Long Bond: none
Charts current to 2nd May, except where otherwise indicated
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Looking hopeful, but still in a downtrend.
Good long term weekly support in orange.
The top is cancelled. The wedge-like shape with falling volume in black presents a danger of a return to the bearish trend.Very good support at the current level: and on the channel support - which could still see a fall to 10,500 in 2009. So don't take too much comfort from this chart. It is very long in term and quite compressed. ![]()
Double resistance at 2,450 broken. This is clearly bullish.The top cancelled. ![]()
Still in the down trend in pink. ![]()
Mildly bullish histogram in blue. But nothing to get excited about.
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Breakout from the pink downtrend gives a chance for a bottom. That could take months. ![]()
Nice double bottom on channel support. ![]()
Little bottom on horizontal support is highly suggestive of a bottom for this sector. ![]()
Bottom potential but no breakout. ![]()
Breakout from bottom on support: bullish. ![]()
Short term rates have bottomed. ![]()
Long term rates have not yet bottomed. ![]()
Dangerous: although the bottom and breakout are excellent in terms of symmetry and volume, there is no certainty in a prediction. Unless we see a turn soon, there is a danger of failure. Breakout is marginal. But the top is quite threatening. ![]()
Breakout on good volume suggests a continuation of the current bullish trend.
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Just a hope at the moment. But the increase in volume in the last year could set the stage for a bottom, as outlined in green. ![]()
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All predictions since 1996
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