Barton's Global Market Trends .......................................................................................................................... Disclaimer ; Glossary

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China and Hongkong

21,000 resistance still holding

8th March:  The index turned on the 21,000 level, so our bearish scenario is still in tact. A close at, say, 21,500 would be sufficient to shrug off the bearish scenario and give consideration to a bullish continuation. However, we would still have to consider a double top unless the index passed the previous recent high of around 23,000.


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Charts current to 5th March, except where otherwise indicated


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Still in a range, which supports the head and shoulders top scenario in pink.

Bullish and bearish scenarios in pink and green respectively. Note the previous tops in 1997 and 2000.

PE at 18 does not indicate anything much.
Source: hsi.com.

Ambiguous: either topping in green or continuing in pink.

Still a topping danger but also supported in orange.

Bullish while the pink support holds.


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Bullish double bottom breakout and pullback.

Long term log scale with regression line in blue.

Long term log chart showing the price close to the geometric mean in blue.

Price supported by blue regression line.

Close to the mean.

A double top on resistance in orange.

Right on the geometric mean.

Charts below current to 8th January.
The regression line in blue marks the center of a clear channel showing a steady increase in value since the mid 80's.

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