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12th May: The big top has broken out, giving a downside target of 2,150. There is support at 2,600 on the long term chart. This is the best hope for cancellation of the top.

Current Prediction:

Medium term: double top points to 2,150 (log), 1,900 (arithmetic): unconfirmed

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Charts current to 9th  May,  except where otherwise indicated


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Top breakout gives a tentative target of 2,150. A close at 2,700 would confirm the top. But there are good long term supports which may raise doubt as to the target of 2,150. See below. Channel in pink needs to break in order to see an end to the bear trend since October.

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The long term double bottom in green is persuasive so long as the index remains above support at 2,600.

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