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US Markets

Rally does not remove uncertainty

 


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Charts current to 23rd July, except where otherwise indicated


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Back in the realm of uncertainty. We would need a close above the previous high of 1,100 in order to cancel the top.

Still dangerous.

A close at 10,600 would cancel the top.



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Possible wedge breakout. Possible top cancellation. Let's give it another week.

Similar comment to those above.

Histogram turns positive.



Top cancelled.




A break above resistance in pink would alleviate fears of topping.

Good support in orange. But the top in green is still valid.

Target of 51.5.

Could be going either way. Now in a range.

Good turn on support in pink.

The trend is still down.

Charts below current to 2nd July.
Top scenarios after turning on long term resistance.

Long term log chart with supports and resistances: possible channel in orange, regression line in blue.

Long term log chart. Channel in orange is clear.

Nasdaq 19 year chart with regression line (black) and five year extrapolation.


PE chart current to 30th June.
PE turns on resistance.
P/Es are based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years (P/E10). source: http://www.multpl.com
Read more about this concept at: http://thesmarterwallet.com/2009/price-earnings-ratio-pe-ratio/


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